Category Archives: Polls/Surveys

Unemployment at a Standstill 9.1% Surprise no New Jobs Created

Bad News just got worse as an August 2011 will go down as the first month 1945  Private Industry did not produce a job. Economists were expecting 80,000 created. From AP via Yahoo News:

Employers added no jobs in August — an alarming setback for the economy that renewed fears of another recession and raised pressure on Washington to end the hiring standstill.

Worries flared Friday after the release of the worst jobs report since September 2010. Total payrolls were unchanged, the first time since 1945 that the government reported a net job change of zero. The unemployment rate stayed at 9.1 percent.

The dismal news two-day before Labor Day sent stocks plunging. The Dow Jones industrial average fell 253 points, or more than 2 percent.

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Gallup Poll Americans say US is in Recession

A new Gallup pol finds the Most Americans say the US is in a recession. From Reuters on Thursday:

The April 20-23 Gallup survey of 1,013 U.S. adults found that only 27 percent said the economy is growing. Twenty-nine percent said the economy is in a depression and 26 percent said it is in a recession, with another 16 percent saying it is “slowing down,” Gallup said.

The poll findings have a 4 percentage point margin of error, according to Gallup.

The health of the U.S. economy is expected to be a major issue as President Barack Obama, a Democrat, seeks re-election in 2012.

The government reported on Thursday that U.S. economic growth slowed more than expected to 1.8 percent in the first quarter of the year, as soaring food and gasoline prices drained consumer spending power.

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Wisconsin Supreme Court Election Over Judge Prosser Wins

The Wisconsin Supreme Court race  is over and the incumbent Justice David Prosser wins reelection. From WISPolitics Blog:

With the Milwaukee County canvass now in, The Associated Press has declared Justice David Prosser the winner in his race against JoAnne Kloppenburg.

The Left including Wisconsin Teachers union and SEIU hung their hopes on  JoAnne Kloppenburg. Kloppenburg  was expected to vote against Governor Scott Walker’s Collective Bargaining  Agreement  Reform Law. Now its  a victory for the GOP.

Hat Tip: Legal Insurrection Blog

Pres. Obama Approval Falls Under 50% Among the Poor

Gallup finds that Pres.Obama losing support among the  nations poor. CNS News:

President Barack Obama’s approval among the poorest Americans dropped to an all-time low of 48 percent last week, according to the Gallup poll, leaving the president with less-than-majority approval among all income brackets reported in Gallup’s presidential approval surveys.

Each week, Gallup publishes the president’s average approval rating for the previous week among four income brackets: those who earn $2,000 per month or less, those who earn between $2,000 and $4,999 per month, those who earn between $5,000 and $7,499 per month, and those who earn $7,500 per month or more.

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2010 US Census Shows Population 309Million; Midwest and Northeast States Loses Congressional Seats to South and West

The Census Bureau released the latest data for the 2010 Census. It continues to show a long-standing trend of growth in the South and West, while North and East lost population. The GOP may benefit from the population shift. From AP Yahoo News:

Republican-leaning states will gain at least a half dozen House seats thanks to the 2010 census, which found the nation’s population growing more slowly than in past decades but still shifting to the South and West.

The Census Bureau announced Tuesday that the nation’s population on April 1 was 308,745,538, up from 281.4 million a decade ago. The growth rate for the past decade was 9.7 percent, the lowest since the Great Depression. The nation’s population grew by 13.2 percent from 1990 to 2000.

Texas is the big winner with 4 new congressional districts, in second place Florida despite the housing crash gains 2 districts:

Texas will gain four new House seats, and Florida will gain two. Gaining one each are Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, South Carolina, Utah and Washington.

The losers the buckeye state and the empire state with two Congressional districts apiece:

Ohio and New York will lose two House seats each. Losing one House seat are Illinois, Iowa, Louisiana, Massachusetts, Michigan, Missouri, New Jersey and Pennsylvania.

California first time in state history does not add a congressional districts:

Ohio and New York will lose two House seats each. Losing one House seat are Illinois, Iowa, Louisiana, Massachusetts, Michigan, Missouri, New Jersey and Pennsylvania.

Florida will now have as many U.S. House members as New York: 27. California will still have 53 seats, and Texas will climb to 36.

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Split Decision:GOP Takes the House Democrats Keep the Senate.

Republicans got a Split decision on Tuesday as the GOP wins the House of Representatives by taking 65 seats. The Senate remains Democrats hands the  GOP only won eight seats and Majority Leader Harry Reid remain as leader and won his seat over of Republican Sharron Angle.

AP via Yahoo News has the rest of the story.

November 2 is here Go and VOTE!

Over the years I try to remember to vote . I usually vote in major elections President, Congress,  Governor etc.  Well Today November 2, Election Day.

This election is the most important election in several generations everything up for grabs. Nation is a stake.

So go and vote Liberal or Conservative. Go Vote  GO VOTE!

See yu at the polls. (I am at the polls in Hawaiian Gardens)

President Obama Job Approval Fall to Lowest Point in Presidency Only 36% Job Approval

One week before the 2010 Midterm Elections and President Barack Obama’s job approval has fallen to it lowest level since he was elected 2 years. He approval is 36% by Harris Interactive  a major pollster firm. What worse 67%, two-thirds of surveyed disapprove of the job Obama is doing. From Harris Interactive:

These are some of the results of The Harris Poll of 3,084 adults surveyed online between October 11 and 18, 2010 by Harris Interactive.

It’s perhaps not surprising that nine in ten Republicans (90%) and Conservatives (89%) give the job the president is doing negative ratings. What may be surprising is that one-third of Democrats (34%) and Liberals (33%) also give him negative ratings, as do seven in ten Independents (70%) and six in ten Moderates (60%).

Americans who give the president the highest positive ratings are those with a post-graduate education (48%), a college education (47%), and those living in the West (42%). On the other end of the spectrum, almost three-quarters of those with a high school education or less (72%) and two thirds of Midwesterners (66%) and Southerners (66%) give the President negative marks on his overall job.

Congress fares worse the President :

While the president is at a low point, there is a political body with ratings much lower than his. Just one in ten Americans (11%) give Congress positive ratings on the job they are doing while nine in ten (89%) give them negative marks. While Congress may be under Democratic control, even four in five Democrats (81%) give them negative ratings.

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Unemployment Ticks Up to 9.6% Bad News for Democrats

October unemployment rate inched up to 9.6%. It is the 14th consecutive month with unemployment hovering around 9.5%. 95,000  jobs were lost. There are 65,000 created for the month. The Job losses are attributed to Census layoffs. AP via Google News:

The die is cast, and it’s grim news for the Democrats. There’s nothing now that Congress or President Barack Obama can do to before the November midterm elections to jolt the nation’s stagnant economy.

Friday’s government report — the last major economic news before the midterm elections — showed the nation continued to lose jobs last month, reinforcing the bleak reality that it probably will be years — not months — before employment returns to pre-recession levels below 6 percent.

That tightens the pressure on Democrats ahead of the Nov. 2 elections. And it also casts a dark shadow well into the 2012 election season and beyond.

“We won’t see under 6 percent for five years,” David Wyss, chief economist at Standard & Poor’s in New York, said Friday after the Labor Department reported that 95,000 more jobs were lost in September and the unemployment rate held at 9.6 percent. “It’s going to be a slow recovery.”

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Michael Barone:Republicans MayWin House in Landslide;Maybe

Syndicated Columnist Michael Barone says the Republicans may have a huge margin of victory in the take over of the House of Representative in November. However, Barone says the Gallup polling is volatile and shaky at best.

From the Washington Examiner:

Late yesterday, Gallup came out with new numbers on the generic ballot question—which party’s candidates would you vote for in the election for House of Representatives? Among registered voters Gallup shows Republicans ahead by 46%-42%, about as good a score as Republicans have ever had (and about as bad a score as Democrats have ever had) since Gallup started asking the question in 1942.

However, Gallup also shows the results for two different turnout models. Under its “high turnout model” Republicans lead 53%-40%. Under its “low turnout model” Republicans lead 56%-38%.

These two numbers, if translated into popular votes in the 435 congressional districts, suggest huge gains for Republicans and a Republican House majority the likes of which we have not seen since the election cycles of 1946 or even 1928. For months, people have been asking me if this year looks like ’94. My response is that the poll numbers suggest it looks like 1994, when Republicans gained 52 seats in a House of 435 seats. Or perhaps somewhat better for Republicans and worse for Democrats. The Gallup high turnout and low turnout numbers suggest it looks like 1894, when Republicans gained more than 100 seats in a House of approximately 350 seats.

Having said that, caution is in order. Gallup’s numbers tend to be volatile. Its procedures for projecting likely turnout are very sensitive to transitory responses. They’re useful in identifying shifts in the balance of enthusiasm. But they can overstate the swings to one party or the other.  Scott Rasmussen’s latest generic ballot numbers among likely voters show Republicans with only a 45%-42% lead, much less than the 48%-38% lead he reported two days ago. That’s based on a three-day average, indicating Democrats fared relatively well on the most recent night of interviewing. Perhaps Barack Obama’s attempts to gin up enthusiasm among Democratic voters are bearing fruit. Or perhaps one night’s results were an anomaly. Polling theory tells us that at least one out of 20 polls is simply wrong, that is, the results differ from what you would get from interviewing the entire population by more than the margin of error.

Read more at the Washington Examiner: